use of time sequence method to predict the future growth trend of the fixed network telecom industry revenue; contrasting the fixed telephone development of town and village, adopting logistic growth curve econometrics method to analyze three development stages of chinese village fixed telephone market; draw a conclusion that the chinese village fixed telephone has a huge development potential; and predict the development trend of village fixed network telecom in several years; adopting logistic growth curve method to calculate and analyze internet business growth stage; while studying internet development potential, we draw a conclusion that internet business also have a good growth foreground, and give a quantitative predict of internet industry development 運用時間序列外推法預測未來固網電信業(yè)收入增長趨勢;通過城鎮(zhèn)與農村固定電話發(fā)展對比,采用logistic成長曲線計量經濟方法分析了中國農村固定電話市場發(fā)展的三個階段,認為中國農村固定電話處于高速發(fā)展的中期,具很大的發(fā)展?jié)摿?并定量預測出未來中國農村固話發(fā)展趨勢;在研究互聯(lián)網及寬帶接入業(yè)務發(fā)展?jié)摿r,同樣采用logistic成長曲線計量方法,分析了互聯(lián)網業(yè)務成長階段,得出互聯(lián)網業(yè)務尤其是寬帶業(yè)務具有很好的增長前景的結論,并定量預測出未來互聯(lián)網業(yè)務、寬帶業(yè)務的增長趨勢。
use of time sequence method to predict the future growth trend of the fixed network telecom industry revenue; contrasting the fixed telephone development of town and village, adopting logistic growth curve econometrics method to analyze three development stages of chinese village fixed telephone market; draw a conclusion that the chinese village fixed telephone has a huge development potential; and predict the development trend of village fixed network telecom in several years; adopting logistic growth curve method to calculate and analyze internet business growth stage; while studying internet development potential, we draw a conclusion that internet business also have a good growth foreground, and give a quantitative predict of internet industry development 運用時間序列外推法預測未來固網電信業(yè)收入增長趨勢;通過城鎮(zhèn)與農村固定電話發(fā)展對比,采用logistic成長曲線計量經濟方法分析了中國農村固定電話市場發(fā)展的三個階段,認為中國農村固定電話處于高速發(fā)展的中期,具很大的發(fā)展?jié)摿?并定量預測出未來中國農村固話發(fā)展趨勢;在研究互聯(lián)網及寬帶接入業(yè)務發(fā)展?jié)摿r,同樣采用logistic成長曲線計量方法,分析了互聯(lián)網業(yè)務成長階段,得出互聯(lián)網業(yè)務尤其是寬帶業(yè)務具有很好的增長前景的結論,并定量預測出未來互聯(lián)網業(yè)務、寬帶業(yè)務的增長趨勢。